ARK Invest Predicts Bitcoin Market Cap Could Reach $16 Trillion by 2030

The Future Outlook for Bitcoin

According to ARK Invest's Big Ideas 2026 report, Bitcoin's future appears highly promising. By 2030, its market cap is projected to reach $16 trillion, representing 60%–70% of the total crypto market. Based on a fixed supply of 21 million, Bitcoin’s price could rise to $760,000, over 7.6 times its current level.

This outlook reflects Bitcoin’s growing role as a 'digital gold' for value storage. Institutional adoption, the introduction of spot ETFs, corporate treasury allocations, and declining volatility are key drivers behind this trend. Currently, U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs and public firms hold around 12% of the total Bitcoin supply.

Growth Potential of Smart Contract Platforms

Beyond Bitcoin, the report highlights that smart contract platforms will be a major growth engine for the crypto market. By 2030, their combined market cap could reach $6 trillion, demonstrating the broad application potential of blockchain technology across finance and other industries.