A Major Options Expiry Shakes Crypto Markets

Today marks a pivotal moment for crypto derivatives as over $22 billion in combined Bitcoin and Ethereum options expire. With $18.7 billion in BTC options and $3.95 billion in ETH contracts reaching expiry, market participants are bracing for potential turbulence amid shifting sentiment and positioning.

Bullish and Bearish Bets in Balance

The BTC put/call ratio stands at 1.07, reflecting a slight bearish tilt as traders hedge against downside risks. The max pain point at $90,000 suggests this level could trigger significant liquidations. Meanwhile, ETH's ratio of 0.88 indicates stronger bullish sentiment, with the pain point set at $3,100, where short call positions may face pressure.

What This Means for Price Action

Options expiries often lead to aggressive hedging and rebalancing, potentially fueling short-term volatility. Traders should watch $90,000 and $3,100 closely, as these levels could act as catalysts for breakout moves. Past patterns show that post-expiry periods frequently unlock new trends as positioning resets.

  • BTC options notional: $18.7 billion
  • ETH options notional: $3.95 billion
  • BTC max pain: $90,000
  • ETH max pain: $3,100
  • BTC put/call ratio: 1.07
  • ETH put/call ratio: 0.88