Fed Likely to Keep Rates Unchanged in March with 92.2% Probability

March Interest Rate Decision Expectations

Recent data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is as high as 92.2%, with only a 7.8% chance of a 25-basis-point cut.

Expectations for April and June

Regarding April's policy decision, the market expects a 25.3% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged stands at 73.1%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut rises to 52.6%.