Federal Reserve Likely to Hold Interest Rates Steady in March with 92.1% Probability

Analysis of Federal Reserve's Recent Rate Moves

New data indicates a high probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates steady during its March monetary policy meeting, at 92.1%. This suggests a cautious stance by the Fed as it monitors economic developments.

By April, expectations for a rate cut increase slightly, with the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point reduction rising to 23.6%, while the chance of maintaining the current rate drops to 75%. Additionally, the probability of a 25-basis-point cut by June climbs to 50%.

• 7.9% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in March
• 75.0% chance of maintaining rates in April
• 50.0% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut by June

Overall, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve signaling a more accommodative stance in the coming months continues to grow.