US Growth Outlook Surges in Latest Forecast
A revised economic projection now estimates US GDP growth for Q4 2025 to reach 5.4%, up sharply from the previous 2.7%, highlighting a stronger-than-expected economic trajectory.
What’s Fueling the Upside Surprise?
The upgrade reflects resilient consumer demand, a rebound in business investment, and steady labor market performance. Recent data shows expanding manufacturing activity and a broad recovery across service sectors.
- Personal consumption is projected to grow over 4% year-on-year
- Capital goods orders have rebounded significantly
- Unemployment remains low, supporting household confidence
Economists attribute the momentum to well-timed policy adjustments and sustained fiscal support. While inflation remains monitored, underlying trends suggest a return toward target levels. If sustained, this growth path could position the economy for a stable expansion into 2026.