A Major Economic Release Is Coming

At 9:30 PM tonight, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will unveil the first non-farm payrolls report of 2026, drawing global investor attention. The market anticipates a gain of 60,000 jobs, slightly down from the previous 64,000, suggesting a gradual cooling in labor demand.

Why the Non-Farm Payrolls Matter

The non-farm payrolls are a cornerstone indicator of U.S. economic strength, tracking employment changes across businesses, government, and non-agricultural sectors. It plays a crucial role in shaping Federal Reserve policy and financial market expectations.

  • Released on the first Friday of every month
  • Excludes agricultural employment
  • Strongly influences equities, bonds, and the U.S. dollar

Unemployment Rate Expected to Dip

The December 2025 unemployment rate will also be released, forecasted to decline from 4.6% to 4.5%. While modest, a consistent downward trend could support the Fed’s stance on holding rates higher for longer.

Experts warn that a surprise result could trigger sharp moves in financial markets, particularly in forex and precious metals, offering short-term trading opportunities.