Product Expansion and Strategic Moves Drive Upgrade

Merrill Lynch has upgraded Coinbase's stock rating to Buy, highlighting accelerated product development, strategic shifts, and a more attractive valuation as key drivers.

Although Coinbase shares have fallen around 40% from their July peak, the firm sees improving momentum in product development for the second half of the year.

  • Coinbase is expanding into stocks, ETFs, and prediction markets at a faster pace.
  • Its Layer 2 network, Base, is seen as a foundational infrastructure for future growth.
  • The Coinbase Tokenize initiative could serve as a major catalyst for tokenizing real-world assets (RWA).

Valuation Appeal and Long-Term Outlook

With the current price-to-earnings ratio down about 40% from mid-2024 levels, Merrill Lynch maintains its $340 price target, implying about 38% upside potential.

Analysts believe Coinbase is well-positioned to maintain industry leadership through 2026 and lead in emerging market segments.