High-Stakes Return After Year-Long Absence
According to data from blockchain monitoring platform Lookonchain, Polymarket trader SCssss has made a dramatic return to the prediction market after over a year of silence.
This time he's chosen an unconventional prediction event, investing $150,000 to bet that the U.S. government will officially confirm the existence of extraterrestrial intelligent life before 2027.
Risky Bet Against Market Consensus
Notably, when SCssss placed his bet, the market consensus probability for this prediction stood at just 16.8%. This indicates the market generally considered this event unlikely to happen.
However, this trader seems unfazed by mainstream opinion. Previously, he had bet on Harris winning the U.S. presidential election, and though he ultimately lost $50,000, he clearly hasn't been discouraged.
Prediction Market Sees Another Bold Bet
- A $150,000 single bet is extremely rare on the Polymarket platform
- Attention on this prediction event has significantly increased
- Market participants are reassessing the possibility of government information disclosure
This substantial wager has once again drawn outside attention to prediction markets, prompting speculation: Does this trader possess special information? Time will tell.