Polymarket Predicts 83% Chance Fed Will Hold Rates in March

Market Expects Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in March

Recent data from Polymarket indicates that investors are highly confident the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rate policy during the upcoming March meeting, with an implied probability of 83%.

At the same time, the market assigns only a 16% chance to a 25-basis-point rate cut, suggesting a cautious outlook on near-term monetary easing amid ongoing economic assessments.

Trading Volume Exceeds $81 Million as Attention Rises

As of the latest update, the trading volume for Fed-related contracts on the platform has surpassed $81 million, highlighting growing market attention and sensitivity to monetary policy developments.

• Strong expectation for rate hold
• Rate cut outlook remains limited
• High volume signals alert investor sentiment