Probability of Iran's Supreme Leader Leaving Office Before March 31 Surges to 93%

Event Background

On the Polymarket platform, the prediction market regarding whether Iran's Supreme Leader will leave office before March 31 has recently become highly active.

Data Surge

The winning probability for this event soared to 93% today, an increase of 85 percentage points, with total trading volume reaching $30.43 million.

Market Response

• Investor interest in this event has significantly increased.
• The active prediction market reflects uncertainty about Iran's political situation.