Is a Long-Term Treasury Bull Market Coming? How a New 'Treasury-Fed Accord' Could Fuel 30-Year Bond Rally

Market analysis suggests a new policy framework is emerging between the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve. This could lead to reduced long-term bond issuance, a shift to short-term financing, and a scenario where the Fed shrinks its balance sheet while banks expand theirs. These structural shifts may decrease long-term bond supply, creating favorable conditions for a 30-year Treasury rally and a flatter yield curve.

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