US CFTC Launches Probe Into Prediction Markets' Lucrative Incentive Programs

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has initiated an investigation into incentive programs offered by prediction market platforms. Regulators are concerned that promotional tactics promising high returns may mislead participants, and are examining compliance with derivatives trading rules. This move signals heightened regulatory scrutiny over the growing prediction market sector.

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Barclays Warns: AI Investment Boom Could Drive 30-Year US Treasury Yields to 6%

Barclays analysts suggest that if the AI investment boom leads to sustained productivity gains, the yield on the 30-year US Treasury could surge to 6%. Stronger productivity would enable faster economic growth and force markets to raise long-term interest rate expectations, pushing borrowing costs higher. The yield has already climbed above 5.61%, its highest since 2002.

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